tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 13:09 STS → 15:20 PHX
    AA 6361 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:07 PHX → 18:21 ONT
    AA 864 · American · 1h 14m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 12mSTS 13:09 to ONT 18:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.