tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:09 STS → 15:20 PHX
    AA 6361 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 17m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:37 PHX → 18:08 BUR
    AA 4944 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 30m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection76%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 24% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 17m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (76%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 58mSTS 13:09 to BUR 18:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.