tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 43%

  1. 13:09 STS → 15:20 PHX
    AA 6361 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 41% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 18:10 PHX → 19:30 BUR
    WN 4667 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 49% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip6h 21mSTS 13:09 to BUR 19:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.