tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tucson → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:59 TUS → 16:01 PHX
    AA 6373 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 02m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:48 PHX → 18:16 LAX
    AA 2930 · American · 1h 27m · 68% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 3h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip3h 16mTUS 14:59 to LAX 18:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.