tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 64%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:57 PHX
    AA 6375 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 97% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 39m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:36 PHX → 12:06 LAX
    AA 2869 · American · 1h 30m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 114 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 39m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip6h 06mMRY 06:00 to LAX 12:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.