tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:57 PHX
    AA 6375 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 97% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:23 PHX → 14:30 SEA
    AS 603 · Alaska · 3h 07m · 89% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 30mMRY 06:00 to SEA 14:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.