tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:57 PHX
    AA 6375 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 97% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 09m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:06 PHX → 11:31 LAX
    UA 2487 · United · 1h 25m · 91% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 09m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 31mMRY 06:00 to LAX 11:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.