tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Monterey → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 MRY → 07:57 PHX
    AA 6375 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 57m · 97% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:12 PHX → 13:15 SFO
    UA 2619 · United · 2h 03m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 15mMRY 06:00 to SFO 13:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.