tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 49%

  1. 14:48 TVC → 15:23 ORD
    AA 6379 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 10.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 25m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:48 ORD → 21:59 PHL
    AA 2443 · American · 2h 18m · 59% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 160 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 25m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (10.7% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 18mTVC 14:48 to PHL 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.