tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Boston via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:48 TVC → 15:23 ORD
    AA 6379 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 35m · 80% on time, 10.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 ORD → 19:57 BOS
    AA 4384 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 51m · 62% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (10.7% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 16mTVC 14:48 to BOS 19:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.