tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 14:21 ASE → 17:40 DFW
    AA 6384 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:30 DFW → 19:41 DEN
    AA 2235 · American · 2h 11m · 46% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection48%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 52% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (48%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip5h 20mASE 14:21 to DEN 19:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.