tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:21 ASE → 17:40 DFW
    AA 6384 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 68% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 DFW → 23:39 ORD
    AA 2346 · American · 2h 39m · 63% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip8h 18mASE 14:21 to ORD 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.