tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:49 HOU → 20:15 DFW
    AA 6385 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 52% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:34 DFW → 23:18 SFO
    AA 2430 · American · 3h 44m · 48% on time, 4.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.7% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip6h 29mHOU 18:49 to SFO 23:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.