tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 18:49 HOU → 20:15 DFW
    AA 6385 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 52% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:59 DFW → 00:43 SFO +1 day
    AA 446 · American · 3h 44m · 50% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 54mHOU 18:49 to SFO 00:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.