tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Ontario via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:49 HOU → 20:15 DFW
    AA 6385 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 52% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:27 DFW → 22:32 ONT
    AA 711 · American · 3h 05m · 53% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 43mHOU 18:49 to ONT 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.