tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 11:22 ASE → 15:29 ORD
    AA 6386 · American, flown by SkyWest · 3h 07m · 69% on time, 9.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 ORD → 22:05 ATL
    AA 2779 · American · 2h 04m · 51% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 2 h ahead of Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (9.1% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip8h 41mASE 11:22 to ATL 22:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.