tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Aspen → San Francisco via Los Angeles: arrives on time 72%

  1. 17:51 ASE → 19:10 LAX
    AA 6387 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 19m · 56% on time, 5.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:32 LAX → 23:59 SFO
    AA 6510 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 27m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Aspen). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (5.4% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip7h 08mASE 17:51 to SFO 23:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.