tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Indianapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 17%

  1. 19:46 MCI → 21:38 ORD
    AA 6399 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 52m · 40% on time, 11.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 ORD → 00:51 IND +1 day
    AA 4363 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 21m · 77% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (11.8% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip4h 05mMCI 19:46 to IND 00:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.