tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Medford → Denver via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 05:15 MFR → 07:42 PHX
    AA 6401 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 27m · 94% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:32 PHX → 11:29 DEN
    AA 1757 · American · 1h 55m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Medford). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 12mMFR 05:15 to DEN 11:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.