tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Charlotte via Phoenix: arrives on time 88%

  1. 05:50 SFO → 08:01 PHX
    AA 6404 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:06 PHX → 17:30 CLT
    AA 1678 · American · 4h 24m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip8h 40mSFO 05:50 to CLT 17:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.