tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 94%

  1. 05:50 SFO → 08:01 PHX
    AA 6404 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 91% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 03m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:04 PHX → 11:46 SBA
    AA 3784 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 03m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip5h 56mSFO 05:50 to SBA 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.