tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Nashville via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:52 AUS → 19:15 DFW
    AA 6410 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 DFW → 22:08 BNA
    AA 1500 · American · 1h 55m · 54% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip4h 15mAUS 17:52 to BNA 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.