tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Portland via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:52 AUS → 19:15 DFW
    AA 6410 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 DFW → 22:51 PDX
    AA 2283 · American · 4h 02m · 58% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 49 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 34m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 59mAUS 17:52 to PDX 22:51, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.