tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Miami via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 17:52 AUS → 19:15 DFW
    AA 6410 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 23:56 MIA
    AA 2823 · American · 2h 51m · 41% on time, 7.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (7.1% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 04mAUS 17:52 to MIA 23:56, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.