tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → El Paso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:52 AUS → 19:15 DFW
    AA 6410 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:10 DFW → 20:55 ELP
    AA 841 · American · 1h 45m · 44% on time, 2.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (El Paso is 1 h behind Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 03mAUS 17:52 to ELP 20:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.