tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Amarillo via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:52 AUS → 19:15 DFW
    AA 6410 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 DFW → 21:27 AMA
    AA 3510 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 22m · 76% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 35mAUS 17:52 to AMA 21:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.