tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:46 HOU → 14:09 DFW
    AA 6413 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:43 DFW → 22:30 JFK
    AA 1203 · American · 3h 51m · 46% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (46%).
Total trip8h 48mHOU 12:46 to JFK 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.