tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → San Francisco via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 35%

  1. 12:46 HOU → 14:09 DFW
    AA 6413 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:17 DFW → 17:59 SFO
    AA 2810 · American · 3h 42m · 43% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 83 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 08m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip7h 13mHOU 12:46 to SFO 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.