tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 12:46 HOU → 14:09 DFW
    AA 6413 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:56 DFW → 18:59 DCA
    AA 3101 · American · 3h 03m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 13mHOU 12:46 to DCA 18:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.