tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:46 HOU → 14:09 DFW
    AA 6413 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 06m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DFW → 21:31 DCA
    AA 472 · American · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 141 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 06m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 45mHOU 12:46 to DCA 21:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.