tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 12:46 HOU → 14:09 DFW
    AA 6413 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 74% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 DFW → 18:20 SMF
    AA 651 · American · 3h 37m · 57% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 34mHOU 12:46 to SMF 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.