tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → San Francisco via Phoenix: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:16 BZN → 14:48 PHX
    AA 6416 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 32m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 12m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:00 PHX → 19:04 SFO
    AA 2421 · American · 2h 00m · 69% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 87 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 12m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 44mBZN 13:16 to SFO 19:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.