tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Los Angeles via Phoenix: arrives on time 63%

  1. 13:16 BZN → 14:48 PHX
    AA 6416 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 32m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:48 PHX → 18:16 LAX
    AA 2930 · American · 1h 27m · 68% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 59mBZN 13:16 to LAX 18:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.