tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bozeman → Seattle via Phoenix: arrives on time 81%

  1. 13:16 BZN → 14:48 PHX
    AA 6416 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 32m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:55 PHX → 21:05 SEA
    AA 4307 · American, flown by Envoy · 3h 10m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Bozeman). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 49mBZN 13:16 to SEA 21:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.