tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Houston via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:07 TYS → 19:35 CLT
    AA 6439 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:45 CLT → 22:27 IAH
    AA 1840 · American · 2h 42m · 71% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 20mTYS 18:07 to IAH 22:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.