tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Detroit via Charlotte: arrives on time 47%

  1. 18:07 TYS → 19:35 CLT
    AA 6439 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:46 CLT → 22:34 DTW
    AA 419 · American · 1h 48m · 67% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 27mTYS 18:07 to DTW 22:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.