tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:07 TYS → 19:35 CLT
    AA 6439 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 28m · 69% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:31 CLT → 22:05 IAD
    AA 5549 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 55% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 3h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 18 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip3h 58mTYS 18:07 to IAD 22:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.