tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 32%

  1. 11:29 TYS → 12:31 ORD
    AA 6445 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:25 ORD → 15:59 DFW
    AA 1120 · American · 2h 34m · 49% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip5h 30mTYS 11:29 to DFW 15:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.