Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 36%

  1. 11:29 TYS → 12:31 ORD
    AA 6445 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:20 ORD → 16:25 DCA
    AA 1675 · American · 2h 05m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 56mTYS 11:29 to DCA 16:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.