tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Charlotte via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 11:29 TYS → 12:31 ORD
    AA 6445 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:17 ORD → 16:29 CLT
    AA 3280 · American · 2h 12m · 87% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 00mTYS 11:29 to CLT 16:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.