tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 63%

  1. 11:29 TYS → 12:31 ORD
    AA 6445 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 03m · 75% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:43 ORD → 17:32 MSP
    AA 4425 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 49m · 74% on time, 9.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (9.9% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 03mTYS 11:29 to MSP 17:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.