tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Dallas-Fort Worth via Phoenix: arrives on time 50%

  1. 16:12 STS → 18:23 PHX
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 58m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:21 PHX → 00:48 DFW +1 day
    AA 2603 · American · 2h 27m · 61% on time, 10.2% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 2 h ahead of Santa Rosa). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 58m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (10.2% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 36mSTS 16:12 to DFW 00:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.