tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Burbank via Phoenix: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:12 STS → 18:23 PHX
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:12 PHX → 21:35 BUR
    WN 3248 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 43% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 20mSTS 16:12 to BUR 21:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.