tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Ontario via Phoenix: arrives on time 36%

  1. 16:12 STS → 18:23 PHX
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:50 PHX → 23:00 ONT
    WN 3313 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip6h 48mSTS 16:12 to ONT 23:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.