tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → San Diego via Phoenix: arrives on time 51%

  1. 16:12 STS → 18:23 PHX
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:55 PHX → 23:05 SAN
    WN 3426 · Southwest · 1h 12m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 55mSTS 16:12 to SAN 23:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.