tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Santa Ana via Phoenix: arrives on time 70%

  1. 16:12 STS → 18:23 PHX
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:10 PHX → 22:25 SNA
    WN 4107 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 13mSTS 16:12 to SNA 22:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.