tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Madison via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:45 DTW → 07:30 ORD
    AA 6465 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 22m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 ORD → 12:02 MSN
    AA 3437 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 10m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 157 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 22m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 17mDTW 06:45 to MSN 12:02, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.