tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Des Moines via Chicago: arrives on time 86%

  1. 06:45 DTW → 07:30 ORD
    AA 6465 · American, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:30 ORD → 13:05 DSM
    AA 4676 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 35m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 20mDTW 06:45 to DSM 13:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.