tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Wichita → Chicago via Phoenix: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:39 ICT → 13:10 PHX
    AA 6473 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 31m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 45m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:55 PHX → 21:15 MDW
    WN 4085 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 45m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip8h 36mICT 12:39 to MDW 21:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.