tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oklahoma City → Miami via Phoenix: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:08 OKC → 15:36 PHX
    AA 6517 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 27m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:24 PHX → 23:54 MIA
    AA 496 · American · 4h 30m · 52% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 1 h ahead of Oklahoma City). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip7h 46mOKC 15:08 to MIA 23:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.